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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Warren, NY · ZIP 12845 · Census Tract 36113070602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$473K
Downside (P10)
$409K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$502K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$657K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $317K | $378K | $350K | $340K | $330K | $371K | $360K | $406K | $420K | $456K | $473K | $488K | $509K | $502K |
| YoY Change | +19.2% | -7.4% | -2.9% | -3.0% | +12.6% | -3.2% | +13.0% | +3.5% | +8.5% | +3.8% | +3.0% | +4.4% | -1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $415K | $402K | $409K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $593K | $672K | $657K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$415K to $593K
36.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$409K to $657K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queensbury · Lake George · (Tract 706.2) | $464K | $502K | +8.3% | |
| Lake George | $405K | $498K | +23.1% | |
| Queensbury (Tract 070603) | $372K | $418K | +12.2% | |
| Glens Falls North | $334K | $372K | +11.5% | |
| Chester | $330K | $366K | +10.8% | |
| Queensbury (Tract 070900) | $349K | $381K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queensbury · Lake George · (Tract 706.2) | $464K | $502K | +8.3% | |
| Lake George | $405K | $498K | +23.1% | |
| Glens Falls North | $287K | $335K | +17.0% | |
| Glens Falls (Tract 070100) | $217K | $248K | +14.3% | |
| Queensbury | $372K | $418K | +12.2% | |
| Glens Falls (Tract 070200) | $167K | $186K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queensbury · Lake George · (Tract 706.2) | $464K | $502K | $248K | |
| Glens Falls (Tract 070100) | $217K | $248K | $115K | |
| Lake Luzerne | $222K | $232K | $111K | |
| Johnsburg | $220K | $230K | $105K | |
| Stony Creek area | $200K | $218K | $104K | |
| Glens Falls (Tract 070200) | $167K | $186K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.