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Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87124 · Census Tract 35043010713 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$186K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$403K
+69% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $123K | $125K | $134K | $139K | $156K | $159K | $194K | $211K | $235K | $238K | $244K | $245K | $234K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$114,643 | -$115,143 | -$113,243 | -$104,943 | -$99,743 | -$82,343 | -$79,643 | -$44,543 | -$27,243 | -$3,743 | +$5,441 | +$6,604 | -$4,753 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.1% | -48.3% | -47.5% | -44.0% | -41.8% | -34.5% | -33.4% | -18.7% | -11.4% | -1.6% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -2.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $197K | $192K | $186K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $316K | $365K | $403K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$197K to $316K
49.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$186K to $403K
92.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | -2.4% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010503) | $228K | $250K | +9.7% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe (Tract 940700) | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010721) | $219K | $231K | +5.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010733) | $249K | $263K | +5.8% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe (Tract 941000) | $231K | $239K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | -2.4% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $283K | +40.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $263K | +29.8% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho | $326K | $379K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | $217K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87124 · Census Tract 35043010713 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$186K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$403K
+69% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $123K | $125K | $134K | $139K | $156K | $159K | $194K | $211K | $235K | $238K | $244K | $245K | $234K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$114,643 | -$115,143 | -$113,243 | -$104,943 | -$99,743 | -$82,343 | -$79,643 | -$44,543 | -$27,243 | -$3,743 | +$5,441 | +$6,604 | -$4,753 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.1% | -48.3% | -47.5% | -44.0% | -41.8% | -34.5% | -33.4% | -18.7% | -11.4% | -1.6% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -2.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $197K | $192K | $186K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $316K | $365K | $403K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$197K to $316K
49.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$186K to $403K
92.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | -2.4% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010503) | $228K | $250K | +9.7% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe (Tract 940700) | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010721) | $219K | $231K | +5.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010733) | $249K | $263K | +5.8% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe (Tract 941000) | $231K | $239K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | -2.4% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $283K | +40.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $263K | +29.8% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho | $326K | $379K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $239K | $234K | $217K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
