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Sandoval, NM · Census Tract 35043160008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$204K
Downside (P10)
$161K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$429K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $204K | $246K | $244K | $255K | $277K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$41,813 | +$39,645 | +$50,589 | +$73,418 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.5% | +19.4% | +24.8% | +36.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $164K | $153K | $161K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $336K | $371K | $403K | $429K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$182K to $336K
62.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$161K to $429K
96.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | +36.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $324K | +60.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $324K | +52.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $295K | +45.1% | |
| Rio Rancho | $200K | $218K | +9.0% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $217K | $227K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | +36.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $324K | +60.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $324K | +52.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $295K | +45.1% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010725) | $328K | $379K | +15.3% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010730) | $464K | $529K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | $269K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $334K | $341K | $81K | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010702) | $335K | $341K | $78K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010715) | $289K | $299K | $70K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $56K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sandoval, NM · Census Tract 35043160008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$204K
Downside (P10)
$161K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$429K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $204K | $246K | $244K | $255K | $277K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$41,813 | +$39,645 | +$50,589 | +$73,418 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.5% | +19.4% | +24.8% | +36.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $164K | $153K | $161K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $336K | $371K | $403K | $429K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$182K to $336K
62.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$161K to $429K
96.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | +36.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $324K | +60.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $324K | +52.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $295K | +45.1% | |
| Rio Rancho | $200K | $218K | +9.0% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $217K | $227K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | +36.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $324K | +60.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $324K | +52.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $295K | +45.1% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010725) | $328K | $379K | +15.3% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010730) | $464K | $529K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160008 | $204K | $277K | $269K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $334K | $341K | $81K | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010702) | $335K | $341K | $78K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010715) | $289K | $299K | $70K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $56K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
