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Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87001 · Census Tract 35043940700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$217K
Downside (P10)
$178K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$316K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $123K | $158K | $178K | $205K | $177K | $241K | $211K | $221K | $213K | $217K | $217K | $223K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$81,825 | -$94,325 | -$59,825 | -$39,125 | -$12,025 | -$40,325 | +$23,775 | -$6,625 | +$3,575 | -$4,225 | -$91 | +$5,290 | +$9,495 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.6% | -43.4% | -27.5% | -18.0% | -5.5% | -18.5% | +10.9% | -3.0% | +1.6% | -1.9% | -0.0% | +2.4% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $179K | $178K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $260K | $291K | $316K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$182K to $260K
36.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$178K to $316K
60.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010503) | $228K | $250K | +9.7% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010721) | $219K | $231K | +5.8% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $231K | $239K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $283K | +40.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $263K | +29.8% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho | $326K | $379K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | $138K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87001 · Census Tract 35043940700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$217K
Downside (P10)
$178K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$316K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $123K | $158K | $178K | $205K | $177K | $241K | $211K | $221K | $213K | $217K | $217K | $223K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$81,825 | -$94,325 | -$59,825 | -$39,125 | -$12,025 | -$40,325 | +$23,775 | -$6,625 | +$3,575 | -$4,225 | -$91 | +$5,290 | +$9,495 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.6% | -43.4% | -27.5% | -18.0% | -5.5% | -18.5% | +10.9% | -3.0% | +1.6% | -1.9% | -0.0% | +2.4% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $179K | $178K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $260K | $291K | $316K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$182K to $260K
36.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$178K to $316K
60.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010503) | $228K | $250K | +9.7% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010721) | $219K | $231K | +5.8% | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $231K | $239K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | +5.9% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 120006) | $202K | $283K | +40.0% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 000003) | $213K | $281K | +31.6% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 200007) | $203K | $263K | +29.8% | |
| Sandoval (Tract 160008) | $204K | $255K | +24.8% | |
| Rio Rancho | $326K | $379K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $214K | $227K | $138K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
