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Richland, SC · ZIP 29061 · Census Tract 45079011901 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$167K
Downside (P10)
$139K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $114K | $116K | $122K | $127K | $121K | $122K | $125K | $149K | $161K | $166K | $167K | $172K | $183K | $191K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +5.1% | +4.1% | -4.4% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +19.3% | +8.0% | +3.4% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +5.9% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $142K | $139K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $202K | $220K | $241K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$149K to $202K
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$139K to $241K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horrell Hill · Hopkins · (Tract 119.1) | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| St. Andrews | $170K | $180K | +5.8% | |
| Pontiac | $172K | $180K | +5.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001000) | $168K | $175K | +3.9% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000900) | $172K | $179K | +3.8% | |
| Columbia (Tract 010702) | $165K | $162K | -1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horrell Hill · Hopkins · (Tract 119.1) | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% | |
| Hopkins | $116K | $132K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horrell Hill · Hopkins · (Tract 119.1) | $166K | $191K | $102K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.