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Richland, SC · ZIP 29203 · Census Tract 45079000300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$99K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$113K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$148K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $80K | $82K | $82K | $87K | $78K | $77K | $90K | $92K | $95K | $99K | $102K | $110K | $113K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | +2.4% | +0.0% | +5.7% | -10.5% | -0.4% | +16.0% | +2.8% | +2.6% | +5.1% | +2.3% | +8.0% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $82K | $84K | $84K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $124K | $137K | $148K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$82K to $124K
40.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$84K to $148K
55.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | +12.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011702) | $108K | $121K | +11.9% | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | +11.6% | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | +3.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011000) | $103K | $107K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia | $321K | $366K | +13.9% | |
| Hopkins | $116K | $132K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $96K | $113K | $63K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.