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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87144 · Census Tract 35043010728 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$476K
Downside (P10)
$396K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$517K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$692K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $283K | $317K | $412K | $435K | $459K | $476K | $491K | $507K | $517K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +29.9% | +5.4% | +5.5% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $403K | $413K | $396K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $595K | $604K | $692K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$403K to $595K
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$396K to $692K
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $471K | $517K | +9.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010730) | $458K | $529K | +15.4% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010726) | $423K | $465K | +10.1% | |
| Corrales | $520K | $565K | +8.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 011101) | $562K | $572K | +1.8% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 011102) | $507K | $508K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $471K | $517K | +9.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010725) | $326K | $379K | +16.2% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010730) | $458K | $529K | +15.4% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010724) | $353K | $399K | +13.1% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010731) | $378K | $424K | +11.9% | |
| Rio Rancho (Tract 010712) | $196K | $218K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Rancho | $471K | $517K | $297K | |
| Rio Rancho | $171K | $175K | $103K | |
| Jemez-Zia | $170K | $186K | $91K | |
| Santo Domingo-San Felipe | $156K | $172K | $87K | |
| Cuba (Tract 010900) | $130K | $135K | $77K | |
| Cuba (Tract 940900) | $55K | $60K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.