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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Durham, NC · Census Tract 37063280102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$250K
Downside (P10)
$233K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$349K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$524K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $250K | $289K | $296K | $325K | $349K |
| YoY Change | +15.5% | +2.4% | +9.9% | +7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $225K | $209K | $221K | $233K | |
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $410K | $458K | $524K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$225K to $388K
56.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$233K to $524K
83.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle area · (Tract 2801.2) | $250K | $349K | +39.7% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 760004) | $453K | $598K | +32.2% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 400005) | $416K | $518K | +24.7% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 880007) | $466K | $539K | +15.9% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 920006) | $495K | $557K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle area · (Tract 2801.2) | $250K | $349K | +39.7% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 000007) | $988K | $1.44M | +45.5% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 760004) | $453K | $598K | +32.2% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 400005) | $416K | $518K | +24.7% | |
| Triangle area (Tract 880007) | $466K | $539K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle area · (Tract 2801.2) | $250K | $349K | $291K | |
| Triangle area (Tract 000007) | $988K | $1.44M | $808K | |
| Triangle area (Tract 920006) | $495K | $557K | $741K | |
| Triangle area (Tract 760004) | $453K | $598K | $569K | |
| Triangle area (Tract 400005) | $416K | $518K | $553K | |
| Triangle area (Tract 880007) | $466K | $539K | $547K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources