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Cumberland, NC · ZIP 28348 · Census Tract 37051003004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$336K
Downside (P10)
$293K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$362K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$471K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $223K | $227K | $270K | $301K | $322K | $336K | $354K | $364K | $362K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,624 | -$108,924 | -$65,824 | -$34,824 | -$14,224 | +$18,057 | +$28,236 | +$26,441 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.5% | -32.4% | -19.6% | -10.4% | -4.2% | +5.4% | +8.4% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $311K | $298K | $293K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $445K | $471K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$311K to $424K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$293K to $471K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | +11.3% | |
| Rockfish | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Carvers Creek (Tract 002506) | $358K | $405K | +13.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000702) | $372K | $410K | +10.4% | |
| Carvers Creek (Tract 002504) | $307K | $323K | +5.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000701) | $330K | $346K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | +11.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000500) | $127K | $147K | +15.8% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003106) | $123K | $141K | +14.3% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003102) | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003312) | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | $178K | |
| Cedar Creek | $125K | $131K | $66K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | $62K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | $61K | |
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | $60K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001701) | $134K | $143K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cumberland, NC · ZIP 28348 · Census Tract 37051003004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$336K
Downside (P10)
$293K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$362K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$471K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $223K | $227K | $270K | $301K | $322K | $336K | $354K | $364K | $362K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,624 | -$108,924 | -$65,824 | -$34,824 | -$14,224 | +$18,057 | +$28,236 | +$26,441 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.5% | -32.4% | -19.6% | -10.4% | -4.2% | +5.4% | +8.4% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $311K | $298K | $293K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $445K | $471K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$311K to $424K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$293K to $471K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | +11.3% | |
| Rockfish | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Carvers Creek (Tract 002506) | $358K | $405K | +13.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000702) | $372K | $410K | +10.4% | |
| Carvers Creek (Tract 002504) | $307K | $323K | +5.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000701) | $330K | $346K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | +11.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000500) | $127K | $147K | +15.8% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003106) | $123K | $141K | +14.3% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003102) | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003312) | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | $178K | |
| Cedar Creek | $125K | $131K | $66K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | $62K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | $61K | |
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | $60K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001701) | $134K | $143K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
