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Cumberland, NC · ZIP 28311 · Census Tract 37051002506 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$310K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$405K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$495K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $224K | $229K | $277K | $325K | $351K | $360K | $376K | $396K | $405K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | +21.2% | +17.3% | +7.9% | +2.6% | +4.4% | +5.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $306K | $310K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $469K | $495K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$324K to $439K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$310K to $495K
45.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek | $358K | $405K | +13.3% | |
| Rockfish | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Grays Creek | $325K | $362K | +11.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000702) | $372K | $410K | +10.4% | |
| Carvers Creek | $307K | $323K | +5.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000701) | $330K | $346K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek | $358K | $405K | +13.3% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000500) | $127K | $147K | +15.8% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003106) | $123K | $141K | +14.3% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003102) | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003312) | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek | $358K | $405K | $185K | |
| Cedar Creek | $125K | $131K | $66K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | $62K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | $61K | |
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | $60K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001701) | $134K | $143K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.