Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Cumberland, NC · ZIP 28311 · Census Tract 37051002401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$105K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$146K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $83K | $78K | $70K | $67K | $70K | $74K | $76K | $96K | $96K | $100K | $105K | $102K | $103K | $105K |
| YoY Change | -6.0% | -10.2% | -5.0% | +5.4% | +5.0% | +2.3% | +27.4% | -0.2% | +3.7% | +5.3% | -2.7% | +1.1% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $88K | $85K | $86K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $132K | $145K | $146K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$88K to $132K
42.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$86K to $146K
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | +2.5% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | +10.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 002402) | $107K | $114K | +6.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | +2.7% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003800) | $101K | $110K | +8.8% | |
| Manchester | $115K | $126K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | +2.5% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000500) | $127K | $147K | +15.8% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003106) | $123K | $141K | +14.3% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003102) | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003312) | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | $60K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001701) | $134K | $143K | $54K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | $61K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | $62K | |
| Cedar Creek | $125K | $131K | $66K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 002302) | $81K | $85K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.