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Clay, FL · ZIP 32003 · Census Tract 12019030706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$381K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$393K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $212K | $237K | $294K | $348K | $364K | $381K | $378K | $389K | $393K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,656 | -$143,956 | -$87,256 | -$33,456 | -$17,156 | -$3,501 | +$7,407 | +$11,299 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.5% | -37.8% | -22.9% | -8.8% | -4.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $302K | $278K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $544K | $595K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$303K to $483K
47.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$278K to $595K
80.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Fleming Island (Tract 030701) | $392K | $423K | +8.1% | |
| Orange Park | $396K | $427K | +8.0% | |
| Fleming Island (Tract 030707) | $387K | $414K | +7.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030205) | $378K | $404K | +6.9% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030206) | $362K | $377K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | $317K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32003 · Census Tract 12019030706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$381K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$393K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$595K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $212K | $237K | $294K | $348K | $364K | $381K | $378K | $389K | $393K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,656 | -$143,956 | -$87,256 | -$33,456 | -$17,156 | -$3,501 | +$7,407 | +$11,299 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.5% | -37.8% | -22.9% | -8.8% | -4.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $302K | $278K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $483K | $544K | $595K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$303K to $483K
47.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$278K to $595K
80.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Fleming Island (Tract 030701) | $392K | $423K | +8.1% | |
| Orange Park | $396K | $427K | +8.0% | |
| Fleming Island (Tract 030707) | $387K | $414K | +7.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030205) | $378K | $404K | +6.9% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030206) | $362K | $377K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | $317K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
