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Clay, FL · ZIP 32234 · Census Tract 12019030105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$151K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$193K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $127K | $183K | $167K | $169K | $174K | $181K | $193K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,627 | -$42,127 | +$14,673 | -$1,827 | +$5,711 | +$12,337 | +$24,252 | +$4,766 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.2% | -25.0% | +8.7% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +7.3% | +14.4% | +2.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $153K | $156K | $151K | $154K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $226K | $241K | $198K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$153K to $212K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$154K to $198K
25.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $204K | $231K | +13.2% | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | +9.7% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $199K | $208K | +4.3% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Green Cove Springs | $199K | $208K | $117K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32234 · Census Tract 12019030105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$151K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$193K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $127K | $183K | $167K | $169K | $174K | $181K | $193K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,627 | -$42,127 | +$14,673 | -$1,827 | +$5,711 | +$12,337 | +$24,252 | +$4,766 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.2% | -25.0% | +8.7% | -1.1% | +3.4% | +7.3% | +14.4% | +2.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $153K | $156K | $151K | $154K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $226K | $241K | $198K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$153K to $212K
33.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$154K to $198K
25.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $204K | $231K | +13.2% | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | +9.7% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $199K | $208K | +4.3% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Green Cove Springs | $199K | $208K | $117K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
