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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Clay, FL · ZIP 32091 · Census Tract 12019980000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$460K
Downside (P10)
$399K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$638K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $305K | $350K | $513K | $436K | $424K | $460K | $471K | $489K | $491K |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +46.4% | -15.0% | -2.7% | +8.5% | +2.4% | +3.9% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $408K | $381K | $399K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $573K | $598K | $638K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$408K to $573K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$399K to $638K
48.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030306) | $422K | $475K | +12.4% | |
| Green Cove Springs (Tract 031302) | $470K | $515K | +9.7% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030704) | $494K | $535K | +8.1% | |
| Fleming Island | $462K | $499K | +8.0% | |
| Green Cove Springs (Tract 031303) | $429K | $454K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights | $433K | $491K | $239K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.