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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Clay, FL · ZIP 32073 · Census Tract 12019030500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$286K
Downside (P10)
$249K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$310K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$410K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $152K | $149K | $149K | $157K | $168K | $165K | $177K | $207K | $231K | $275K | $286K | $290K | $306K | $310K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | +0.5% | +5.2% | +7.2% | -1.8% | +7.3% | +16.5% | +11.7% | +19.1% | +4.3% | +1.3% | +5.5% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $248K | $255K | $249K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $348K | $382K | $410K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$248K to $348K
34.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$249K to $410K
51.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 305) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030303) | $270K | $305K | +12.7% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $300K | $337K | +12.4% | |
| Keystone Heights | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030905) | $297K | $291K | -1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 305) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Park · 32073 · (Tract 305) | $282K | $310K | $161K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.