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Clay, FL · ZIP 32065 · Census Tract 12019030208 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$279K
Downside (P10)
$229K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$366K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $208K | $172K | $332K | $252K | $264K | $279K | $274K | $285K | $283K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,134 | -$106,934 | +$52,166 | -$27,334 | -$15,334 | -$5,001 | +$5,517 | +$3,715 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.5% | -38.3% | +18.7% | -9.8% | -5.5% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $239K | $229K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $329K | $355K | $366K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $329K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$229K to $366K
48.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | +6.6% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030303) | $270K | $305K | +12.7% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030500) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Keystone Heights | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | +6.6% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | $137K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32065 · Census Tract 12019030208 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$279K
Downside (P10)
$229K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$366K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $208K | $172K | $332K | $252K | $264K | $279K | $274K | $285K | $283K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,134 | -$106,934 | +$52,166 | -$27,334 | -$15,334 | -$5,001 | +$5,517 | +$3,715 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.5% | -38.3% | +18.7% | -9.8% | -5.5% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $239K | $229K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $329K | $355K | $366K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $329K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$229K to $366K
48.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | +6.6% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030303) | $270K | $305K | +12.7% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030500) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Keystone Heights | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | +6.6% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleaf Plantation · Orange Park · (Tract 302.8) | $265K | $283K | $137K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
