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Clay, FL · ZIP 32656 · Census Tract 12019031108 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$291K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$321K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$399K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $122K | $135K | $148K | $148K | $157K | $166K | $163K | $192K | $226K | $288K | $291K | $303K | $310K | $321K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,171 | -$156,471 | -$143,671 | -$143,671 | -$134,871 | -$125,271 | -$128,171 | -$99,071 | -$65,371 | -$3,271 | +$11,083 | +$18,030 | +$29,098 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.0% | -53.7% | -49.3% | -49.3% | -46.3% | -43.0% | -44.0% | -34.0% | -22.4% | -1.1% | +3.8% | +6.2% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $254K | $250K | $243K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $348K | $370K | $399K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$254K to $348K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$243K to $399K
48.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $300K | $337K | +12.4% | |
| Oakleaf Plantation | $312K | $347K | +11.2% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030500) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030905) | $297K | $291K | -1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | $156K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32656 · Census Tract 12019031108 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$291K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$321K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$399K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $122K | $135K | $148K | $148K | $157K | $166K | $163K | $192K | $226K | $288K | $291K | $303K | $310K | $321K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,171 | -$156,471 | -$143,671 | -$143,671 | -$134,871 | -$125,271 | -$128,171 | -$99,071 | -$65,371 | -$3,271 | +$11,083 | +$18,030 | +$29,098 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.0% | -53.7% | -49.3% | -49.3% | -46.3% | -43.0% | -44.0% | -34.0% | -22.4% | -1.1% | +3.8% | +6.2% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $254K | $250K | $243K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $348K | $370K | $399K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$254K to $348K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$243K to $399K
48.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $300K | $337K | +12.4% | |
| Oakleaf Plantation | $312K | $347K | +11.2% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030500) | $282K | $310K | +10.1% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030708) | $274K | $289K | +5.6% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030905) | $297K | $291K | -1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | +9.9% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights · 32656 · (Tract 311.8) | $292K | $321K | $156K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
