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Tuolumne, CA · ZIP 95370 · Census Tract 06109002101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$431K
Downside (P10)
$383K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$481K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$679K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $332K | $375K | $370K | $409K | $414K | $431K | $446K | $466K | $481K | $430K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,136 | -$56,236 | -$61,036 | -$22,736 | -$17,436 | +$14,789 | +$35,002 | +$49,624 | -$1,074 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.0% | -13.0% | -14.1% | -5.3% | -4.0% | +3.4% | +8.1% | +11.5% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $388K | $383K | $388K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $536K | $581K | $679K | $487K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$374K to $536K
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$388K to $487K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | +14.1% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 004201) | $421K | $493K | +17.2% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 003103) | $441K | $487K | +10.5% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 003200) | $420K | $446K | +6.1% | |
| Sonora | $438K | $464K | +6.0% | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $437K | $460K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | +14.1% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 004201) | $421K | $493K | +17.2% | |
| Sonora (Tract 005102) | $447K | $520K | +16.4% | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $344K | $393K | +14.3% | |
| Sonora (Tract 001200) | $549K | $623K | +13.5% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 002102) | $405K | $457K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | $296K | |
| Sonora (Tract 001100) | $438K | $464K | $200K | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $344K | $393K | $194K | |
| Sonora (Tract 005101) | $392K | $413K | $188K | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City | $405K | $457K | $185K | |
| Groveland | $383K | $409K | $152K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tuolumne, CA · ZIP 95370 · Census Tract 06109002101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$431K
Downside (P10)
$383K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$481K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$679K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $332K | $375K | $370K | $409K | $414K | $431K | $446K | $466K | $481K | $430K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,136 | -$56,236 | -$61,036 | -$22,736 | -$17,436 | +$14,789 | +$35,002 | +$49,624 | -$1,074 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.0% | -13.0% | -14.1% | -5.3% | -4.0% | +3.4% | +8.1% | +11.5% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $388K | $383K | $388K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $536K | $581K | $679K | $487K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$374K to $536K
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$388K to $487K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | +14.1% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 004201) | $421K | $493K | +17.2% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 003103) | $441K | $487K | +10.5% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 003200) | $420K | $446K | +6.1% | |
| Sonora | $438K | $464K | +6.0% | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $437K | $460K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | +14.1% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 004201) | $421K | $493K | +17.2% | |
| Sonora (Tract 005102) | $447K | $520K | +16.4% | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $344K | $393K | +14.3% | |
| Sonora (Tract 001200) | $549K | $623K | +13.5% | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City (Tract 002102) | $405K | $457K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City · Sonora · (Tract 21.1) | $422K | $481K | $296K | |
| Sonora (Tract 001100) | $438K | $464K | $200K | |
| East Sonora-Phoenix Lake | $344K | $393K | $194K | |
| Sonora (Tract 005101) | $392K | $413K | $188K | |
| Twain Harte-Tuolumne City | $405K | $457K | $185K | |
| Groveland | $383K | $409K | $152K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
