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Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95252 · Census Tract 06009000222 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$628K
Downside (P10)
$492K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$643K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$986K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $409K | $459K | $536K | $582K | $612K | $628K | $638K | $642K | $643K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$218,735 | -$169,035 | -$92,035 | -$46,035 | -$16,135 | +$10,536 | +$14,762 | +$15,449 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -26.9% | -14.7% | -7.3% | -2.6% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $508K | $522K | $492K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $796K | $914K | $986K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$508K to $796K
45.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$492K to $986K
76.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | +4.3% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000123) | $496K | $521K | +5.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000121) | $546K | $569K | +4.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $595K | $611K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | +4.3% | |
| Angels City | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | $495K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000302) | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95252 · Census Tract 06009000222 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$628K
Downside (P10)
$492K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$643K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$986K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $409K | $459K | $536K | $582K | $612K | $628K | $638K | $642K | $643K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$218,735 | -$169,035 | -$92,035 | -$46,035 | -$16,135 | +$10,536 | +$14,762 | +$15,449 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -26.9% | -14.7% | -7.3% | -2.6% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $508K | $522K | $492K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $796K | $914K | $986K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$508K to $796K
45.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$492K to $986K
76.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | +4.3% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000123) | $496K | $521K | +5.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000121) | $546K | $569K | +4.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $595K | $611K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | +4.3% | |
| Angels City | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $617K | $643K | $495K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000302) | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
