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Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95247 · Census Tract 06009000122 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$490K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$520K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$649K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $242K | $272K | $297K | $307K | $306K | $298K | $307K | $424K | $495K | $484K | $490K | $490K | $514K | $520K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +9.2% | +3.4% | -0.3% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +38.1% | +16.9% | -2.2% | +1.1% | -0.0% | +5.1% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $430K | $425K | $425K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $575K | $604K | $649K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$430K to $575K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$425K to $649K
43.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | +7.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000302) | $487K | $516K | +6.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000123) | $496K | $521K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | +7.2% | |
| Angels City | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000504) | $443K | $474K | $237K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000302) | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000400) | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.