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Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95246 · Census Tract 06009000302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$438K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$516K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$659K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $334K | $342K | $391K | $460K | $474K | $500K | $502K | $511K | $516K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,846 | -$157,646 | -$109,446 | -$40,246 | -$26,146 | +$2,147 | +$10,886 | +$15,755 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.2% | -31.5% | -21.9% | -8.1% | -5.2% | +0.4% | +2.2% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $423K | $435K | $438K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $589K | $616K | $659K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$423K to $589K
33.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$438K to $659K
42.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | +6.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000122) | $485K | $520K | +7.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000123) | $496K | $521K | +5.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000121) | $546K | $569K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | +6.0% | |
| Angels City | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000504) | $443K | $474K | $237K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000400) | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Calaveras, CA · ZIP 95246 · Census Tract 06009000302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$438K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$516K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$659K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $334K | $342K | $391K | $460K | $474K | $500K | $502K | $511K | $516K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,846 | -$157,646 | -$109,446 | -$40,246 | -$26,146 | +$2,147 | +$10,886 | +$15,755 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.2% | -31.5% | -21.9% | -8.1% | -5.2% | +0.4% | +2.2% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $423K | $435K | $438K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $589K | $616K | $659K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$423K to $589K
33.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$438K to $659K
42.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | +6.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000124) | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000122) | $485K | $520K | +7.2% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000123) | $496K | $521K | +5.0% | |
| Angels City (Tract 000121) | $546K | $569K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | +6.0% | |
| Angels City | $497K | $579K | +16.4% | |
| Arnold | $602K | $688K | +14.2% | |
| Arnold-West Point | $481K | $539K | +12.2% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | +11.8% | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Andreas | $487K | $516K | $221K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000504) | $443K | $474K | $237K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000221) | $452K | $488K | $231K | |
| Angels City | $485K | $520K | $224K | |
| San Andreas (Tract 000220) | $443K | $496K | $224K | |
| Arnold-West Point (Tract 000400) | $325K | $330K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
