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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85138 · Census Tract 04021001716 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$393K
Downside (P10)
$348K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$447K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$631K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $267K | $321K | $362K | $382K | $393K | $411K | $416K | $447K |
| YoY Change | +12.6% | +20.2% | +13.0% | +5.5% | +2.8% | +4.6% | +1.1% | +7.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $352K | $359K | $348K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $495K | $557K | $631K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$352K to $495K
34.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$348K to $631K
63.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa · 85138 · (Tract 17.16) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| Maricopa-Stanfield (Tract 001712) | $388K | $414K | +6.6% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000227) | $387K | $411K | +6.5% | |
| Maricopa-Stanfield (Tract 001715) | $386K | $399K | +3.5% | |
| Maricopa | $402K | $415K | +3.3% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000226) | $386K | $387K | +0.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa · 85138 · (Tract 17.16) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% | |
| Casa Grande | $382K | $437K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa · 85138 · (Tract 17.16) | $389K | $447K | $283K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.