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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85142 · Census Tract 04021000223 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$470K
Downside (P10)
$397K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$525K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $238K | $254K | $296K | $355K | $449K | $470K | $481K | $516K | $525K |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | +16.5% | +19.9% | +26.6% | +4.7% | +2.3% | +7.4% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $414K | $425K | $397K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $568K | $647K | $675K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$414K to $568K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$397K to $675K
53.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000201) | $452K | $499K | +10.4% | |
| Casa Grande | $486K | $535K | +10.2% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000204) | $472K | $511K | +8.2% | |
| San Tan Valley | $455K | $476K | +4.6% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000307) | $469K | $476K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% | |
| Casa Grande | $382K | $437K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | $278K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.