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Clay, AR · ZIP 72461 · Census Tract 05021950500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$97K
Downside (P10)
$81K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$132K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $70K | $71K | $71K | $69K | $68K | $65K | $59K | $72K | $89K | $95K | $97K | $101K | $103K | $105K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$27,270 | -$26,870 | -$26,970 | -$28,370 | -$29,070 | -$32,270 | -$38,370 | -$25,670 | -$8,470 | -$2,970 | +$3,969 | +$5,541 | +$7,263 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.0% | -27.6% | -27.7% | -29.1% | -29.8% | -33.1% | -39.4% | -26.3% | -8.7% | -3.0% | +4.1% | +5.7% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $83K | $83K | $81K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $115K | $127K | $132K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$83K to $115K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$81K to $132K
48.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% | |
| Clay (Tract 000300) | $82K | $123K | +50.3% | |
| Clay (Tract 000201) | $119K | $170K | +42.5% | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950300) | $101K | $108K | +6.6% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950400) | $91K | $96K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% | |
| Clay (Tract 000300) | $82K | $123K | +50.3% | |
| Clay (Tract 001000) | $54K | $79K | +46.1% | |
| Clay (Tract 000201) | $119K | $170K | +42.5% | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area | $101K | $108K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | $51K | |
| North St. Francis | $122K | $118K | $71K | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950400) | $91K | $96K | $65K | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | $58K | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950300) | $101K | $108K | $56K | |
| South St. Francis area | $59K | $61K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, AR · ZIP 72461 · Census Tract 05021950500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$97K
Downside (P10)
$81K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$132K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $70K | $71K | $71K | $69K | $68K | $65K | $59K | $72K | $89K | $95K | $97K | $101K | $103K | $105K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$27,270 | -$26,870 | -$26,970 | -$28,370 | -$29,070 | -$32,270 | -$38,370 | -$25,670 | -$8,470 | -$2,970 | +$3,969 | +$5,541 | +$7,263 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.0% | -27.6% | -27.7% | -29.1% | -29.8% | -33.1% | -39.4% | -26.3% | -8.7% | -3.0% | +4.1% | +5.7% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $83K | $83K | $81K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $115K | $127K | $132K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$83K to $115K
31.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$81K to $132K
48.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% | |
| Clay (Tract 000300) | $82K | $123K | +50.3% | |
| Clay (Tract 000201) | $119K | $170K | +42.5% | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950300) | $101K | $108K | +6.6% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950400) | $91K | $96K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | +10.0% | |
| Clay (Tract 000300) | $82K | $123K | +50.3% | |
| Clay (Tract 001000) | $54K | $79K | +46.1% | |
| Clay (Tract 000201) | $119K | $170K | +42.5% | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | +7.9% | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area | $101K | $108K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Oak Bluff area | $95K | $105K | $51K | |
| North St. Francis | $122K | $118K | $71K | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950400) | $91K | $96K | $65K | |
| Bennett-Lemmons area | $96K | $104K | $58K | |
| Gleghorn-South Kilgore area (Tract 950300) | $101K | $108K | $56K | |
| South St. Francis area | $59K | $61K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
