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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Thurston, WA · ZIP 98503 · Census Tract 53067011625 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$444K
Downside (P10)
$419K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$474K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$632K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $272K | $365K | $418K | $437K | $444K | $456K | $466K | $474K |
| YoY Change | +6.9% | +34.3% | +14.7% | +4.6% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +2.1% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $400K | $409K | $419K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $537K | $594K | $632K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$400K to $537K
30.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$419K to $632K
45.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacey | $447K | $474K | +6.0% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011622) | $445K | $504K | +13.2% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011500) | $444K | $488K | +9.8% | |
| Olympia East | $444K | $479K | +8.0% | |
| Tumwater | $445K | $479K | +7.6% | |
| Lacey | $445K | $475K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacey | $447K | $474K | +6.0% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012620) | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacey | $447K | $474K | $213K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.