Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Thurston, WA · ZIP 98589 · Census Tract 53067012620 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$390K
Downside (P10)
$336K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$454K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$650K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $163K | $176K | $180K | $210K | $226K | $258K | $312K | $347K | $377K | $390K | $409K | $426K | $454K |
| YoY Change | -5.1% | +7.6% | +2.6% | +16.5% | +7.9% | +13.7% | +21.3% | +11.2% | +8.4% | +3.7% | +4.7% | +4.3% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $337K | $316K | $336K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $507K | $581K | $650K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$337K to $507K
41.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$336K to $650K
69.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South | $402K | $456K | +13.4% | |
| Olympia East (Tract 012412) | $405K | $451K | +11.3% | |
| Tumwater | $404K | $431K | +6.7% | |
| Olympia | $398K | $420K | +5.5% | |
| Olympia East (Tract 012320) | $403K | $415K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $388K | $454K | +17.0% | |
| Olympia (Tract 012211) | $700K | $827K | +18.2% | |
| Olympia East | $455K | $532K | +17.0% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012532) | $579K | $663K | +14.5% | |
| Olympia (Tract 011722) | $557K | $636K | +14.2% | |
| Thurston South (Tract 012510) | $402K | $456K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurston South | $388K | $454K | $314K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010520) | $448K | $501K | $205K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011200) | $343K | $371K | $197K | |
| Thurston South | $424K | $443K | $194K | |
| Olympia (Tract 011300) | $315K | $345K | $165K | |
| Olympia (Tract 010510) | $94K | $101K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.