Augusta, VA · ZIP 24477 · Census Tract 51015071101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$241K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$315K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$428K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +39%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Augusta markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $162K | $168K | $168K | $177K | $171K | $181K | $185K | $225K | $266K | $293K | $307K | $316K | $311K | $315K |
| YoY Change | +3.7% | +0.1% | +5.4% | -3.6% | +6.3% | +2.0% | +21.5% | +18.2% | +10.4% | +4.5% | +3.0% | -1.4% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $259K | $239K | $241K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $374K | $419K | $428K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$259K to $374K
36.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$241K to $428K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.1) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| South River | $303K | $304K | +0.2% | |
| South River | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| Stuarts Draft | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| North River | $291K | $307K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.1) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.1) | $296K | $315K | $186K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.