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Augusta, VA · ZIP 22843 · Census Tract 51015070200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$307K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$441K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $246K | $273K | $221K | $201K | $200K | $222K | $215K | $245K | $274K | $287K | $306K | $307K | $313K | $307K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,689 | -$32,689 | -$84,989 | -$105,089 | -$106,189 | -$83,789 | -$90,589 | -$60,789 | -$32,089 | -$19,289 | +$613 | +$6,649 | +$1,500 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -19.5% | -10.7% | -27.8% | -34.3% | -34.7% | -27.4% | -29.6% | -19.9% | -10.5% | -6.3% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +0.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $254K | $252K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $365K | $407K | $441K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$260K to $365K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$252K to $441K
61.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071102) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071101) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| South River (Tract 071201) | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River (Tract 071202) | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | $188K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Augusta, VA · ZIP 22843 · Census Tract 51015070200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$252K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$307K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$441K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $246K | $273K | $221K | $201K | $200K | $222K | $215K | $245K | $274K | $287K | $306K | $307K | $313K | $307K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,689 | -$32,689 | -$84,989 | -$105,089 | -$106,189 | -$83,789 | -$90,589 | -$60,789 | -$32,089 | -$19,289 | +$613 | +$6,649 | +$1,500 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -19.5% | -10.7% | -27.8% | -34.3% | -34.7% | -27.4% | -29.6% | -19.9% | -10.5% | -6.3% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +0.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $254K | $252K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $365K | $407K | $441K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$260K to $365K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$252K to $441K
61.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071102) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071101) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| South River (Tract 071201) | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River (Tract 071202) | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North River | $291K | $307K | $188K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
