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Augusta, VA · ZIP 22952 · Census Tract 51015071201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$309K
Downside (P10)
$241K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$321K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$443K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $260K | $280K | $281K | $297K | $309K | $313K | $335K | $321K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$136,864 | -$48,664 | -$29,264 | -$27,964 | -$12,564 | +$4,148 | +$26,424 | +$12,321 | -$2,913 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -15.7% | -9.5% | -9.0% | -4.1% | +1.3% | +8.5% | +4.0% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $265K | $260K | $241K | $274K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $376K | $401K | $443K | $346K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$265K to $376K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $346K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071102) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071101) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| North River (Tract 070200) | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| North River (Tract 070701) | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | $203K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Augusta, VA · ZIP 22952 · Census Tract 51015071201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$309K
Downside (P10)
$241K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$321K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$443K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $260K | $280K | $281K | $297K | $309K | $313K | $335K | $321K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$136,864 | -$48,664 | -$29,264 | -$27,964 | -$12,564 | +$4,148 | +$26,424 | +$12,321 | -$2,913 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -15.7% | -9.5% | -9.0% | -4.1% | +1.3% | +8.5% | +4.0% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $265K | $260K | $241K | $274K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $376K | $401K | $443K | $346K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$265K to $376K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $346K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071102) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft (Tract 071101) | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| North River (Tract 070200) | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| North River (Tract 070701) | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South River | $303K | $321K | $203K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
