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Nueces, TX · ZIP 78414 · Census Tract 48355003202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$268K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$278K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$408K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $139K | $145K | $154K | $158K | $166K | $176K | $190K | $221K | $241K | $262K | $268K | $266K | $275K | $278K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | +6.0% | +2.9% | +4.9% | +6.0% | +8.2% | +15.9% | +9.4% | +8.5% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +3.3% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $234K | $227K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $364K | $398K | $408K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$233K to $364K
49.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$227K to $408K
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $266K | $278K | +4.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 005407) | $256K | $283K | +10.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 006300) | $270K | $295K | +9.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 005411) | $281K | $295K | +5.1% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 005415) | $270K | $276K | +2.2% | |
| Corpus Christi West | $279K | $285K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $266K | $278K | +4.4% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003500) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $266K | $278K | $180K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.