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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Nueces, TX · ZIP 78411 · Census Tract 48355002400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$161K
Downside (P10)
$124K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$178K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $87K | $90K | $94K | $108K | $114K | $115K | $138K | $138K | $153K | $161K | $168K | $177K | $178K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | +2.5% | +4.4% | +15.5% | +5.4% | +1.0% | +19.9% | +0.4% | +10.8% | +4.8% | +4.6% | +5.3% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $133K | $129K | $124K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $210K | $257K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$133K to $191K
34.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$124K to $257K
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001905) | $150K | $169K | +13.2% | |
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002200) | $156K | $164K | +5.1% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002703) | $152K | $159K | +4.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002301) | $157K | $163K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003500) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 006204) | $499K | $574K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus Christi | $154K | $178K | $132K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.