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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Richland, SC · ZIP 29201 · Census Tract 45079003000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$252K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$272K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$360K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $233K | $237K | $268K | $303K | $316K | $346K | $343K | $334K | $266K | $250K | $252K | $267K | $269K | $272K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +13.2% | +13.1% | +4.3% | +9.4% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -20.3% | -6.1% | +1.0% | +5.6% | +1.0% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $219K | $217K | $208K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $309K | $334K | $360K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$219K to $309K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$208K to $360K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $252K | $272K | +7.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011307) | $253K | $277K | +9.6% | |
| Columbia (Tract 002602) | $254K | $272K | +7.3% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011418) | $254K | $269K | +5.8% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011424) | $252K | $264K | +5.1% | |
| Columbia (Tract 010502) | $251K | $262K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $252K | $272K | +7.7% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia | $252K | $272K | $153K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.