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Richland, SC · ZIP 29206 · Census Tract 45079011202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$265K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$298K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$373K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $185K | $185K | $193K | $199K | $199K | $202K | $225K | $249K | $265K | $265K | $275K | $288K | $298K | $275K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,311 | -$80,911 | -$80,111 | -$72,411 | -$66,111 | -$66,011 | -$63,611 | -$40,411 | -$16,211 | -$711 | +$9,616 | +$22,279 | +$32,624 | +$9,773 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.4% | -30.5% | -30.2% | -27.3% | -24.9% | -24.9% | -24.0% | -15.2% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +8.4% | +12.3% | +3.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $230K | $239K | $242K | $244K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $345K | $373K | $308K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$230K to $326K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$244K to $308K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | +12.4% | |
| Blythewood | $264K | $298K | +13.0% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001300) | $258K | $286K | +10.8% | |
| Pontiac | $254K | $269K | +5.8% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011603) | $274K | $290K | +5.8% | |
| Dutch Fork | $275K | $273K | -0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | +12.4% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | $131K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Richland, SC · ZIP 29206 · Census Tract 45079011202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$265K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$298K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$373K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $185K | $185K | $193K | $199K | $199K | $202K | $225K | $249K | $265K | $265K | $275K | $288K | $298K | $275K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,311 | -$80,911 | -$80,111 | -$72,411 | -$66,111 | -$66,011 | -$63,611 | -$40,411 | -$16,211 | -$711 | +$9,616 | +$22,279 | +$32,624 | +$9,773 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.4% | -30.5% | -30.2% | -27.3% | -24.9% | -24.9% | -24.0% | -15.2% | -6.1% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +8.4% | +12.3% | +3.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $230K | $239K | $242K | $244K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $345K | $373K | $308K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$230K to $326K
34.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$244K to $308K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | +12.4% | |
| Blythewood | $264K | $298K | +13.0% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001300) | $258K | $286K | +10.8% | |
| Pontiac | $254K | $269K | +5.8% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011603) | $274K | $290K | +5.8% | |
| Dutch Fork | $275K | $273K | -0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | +12.4% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Acres | $265K | $298K | $131K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
