Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Richland, SC · ZIP 29209 · Census Tract 45079011607 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$213K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$250K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$331K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $127K | $126K | $129K | $123K | $131K | $133K | $155K | $168K | $234K | $241K | $247K | $253K | $250K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,555 | -$114,155 | -$114,955 | -$112,155 | -$118,255 | -$110,055 | -$107,455 | -$85,855 | -$73,255 | -$6,555 | +$6,471 | +$12,210 | +$9,282 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.7% | -47.4% | -47.7% | -46.6% | -49.1% | -45.7% | -44.6% | -35.6% | -30.4% | -2.7% | +2.7% | +5.1% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $224K | $219K | $213K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $304K | $318K | $331K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$224K to $304K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$213K to $331K
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | +3.8% | |
| Camp Ground | $249K | $276K | +11.2% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011414) | $240K | $264K | +9.8% | |
| Dutch Fork | $246K | $265K | +7.4% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011423) | $245K | $263K | +7.1% | |
| Columbia | $250K | $266K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | +3.8% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | $118K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Richland, SC · ZIP 29209 · Census Tract 45079011607 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$213K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$250K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$331K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $127K | $126K | $129K | $123K | $131K | $133K | $155K | $168K | $234K | $241K | $247K | $253K | $250K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,555 | -$114,155 | -$114,955 | -$112,155 | -$118,255 | -$110,055 | -$107,455 | -$85,855 | -$73,255 | -$6,555 | +$6,471 | +$12,210 | +$9,282 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.7% | -47.4% | -47.7% | -46.6% | -49.1% | -45.7% | -44.6% | -35.6% | -30.4% | -2.7% | +2.7% | +5.1% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $224K | $219K | $213K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $304K | $318K | $331K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$224K to $304K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$213K to $331K
47.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | +3.8% | |
| Camp Ground | $249K | $276K | +11.2% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011414) | $240K | $264K | +9.8% | |
| Dutch Fork | $246K | $265K | +7.4% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011423) | $245K | $263K | +7.1% | |
| Columbia | $250K | $266K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | +3.8% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011413) | $364K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 000300) | $96K | $113K | +17.6% | |
| Pontiac (Tract 011411) | $313K | $362K | +15.7% | |
| Horrell Hill | $166K | $191K | +15.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 011306) | $321K | $366K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia · 29209 · (Tract 116.7) | $241K | $250K | $118K | |
| Dutch Fork | $119K | $124K | $62K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010701) | $101K | $105K | $61K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010804) | $113K | $120K | $59K | |
| Hopkins | $103K | $114K | $56K | |
| Columbia (Tract 010703) | $92K | $103K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
