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Johnston, OK · Census Tract 40069080005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$201K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+85% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +85%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $220K | $252K | $255K | $264K | $283K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$32,461 | +$35,459 | +$44,044 | +$63,909 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.8% | +16.2% | +20.1% | +29.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $203K | $194K | $192K | $201K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $325K | $335K | $363K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$203K to $325K
48.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$201K to $407K
72.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | +29.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $378K | +43.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $321K | +41.3% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $141K | +22.4% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $212K | $228K | +7.8% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $123K | $128K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | +29.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $378K | +43.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 960002) | $346K | $489K | +41.4% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $321K | +41.3% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $141K | +22.4% | |
| Johnston (Tract 000001) | $539K | $647K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | $206K | |
| Johnston | $115K | $141K | $124K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $212K | $228K | $114K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $123K | $128K | $60K | |
| West Johnston | $100K | $106K | $60K | |
| East Johnston | $109K | $108K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Johnston, OK · Census Tract 40069080005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$201K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+85% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +85%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $220K | $252K | $255K | $264K | $283K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$32,461 | +$35,459 | +$44,044 | +$63,909 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +14.8% | +16.2% | +20.1% | +29.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $203K | $194K | $192K | $201K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $325K | $335K | $363K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$203K to $325K
48.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$201K to $407K
72.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | +29.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $378K | +43.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $321K | +41.3% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $141K | +22.4% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $212K | $228K | +7.8% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $123K | $128K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | +29.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $378K | +43.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 960002) | $346K | $489K | +41.4% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $321K | +41.3% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $141K | +22.4% | |
| Johnston (Tract 000001) | $539K | $647K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080005 | $220K | $283K | $206K | |
| Johnston | $115K | $141K | $124K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $212K | $228K | $114K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $123K | $128K | $60K | |
| West Johnston | $100K | $106K | $60K | |
| East Johnston | $109K | $108K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
