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Johnston, OK · ZIP 74856 · Census Tract 40069660300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$100K
Downside (P10)
$81K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$106K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$141K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $65K | $70K | $71K | $76K | $80K | $83K | $84K | $92K | $95K | $96K | $100K | $100K | $105K | $106K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$34,288 | -$29,388 | -$28,988 | -$23,488 | -$19,788 | -$16,988 | -$15,788 | -$7,788 | -$5,088 | -$3,388 | +$312 | +$4,946 | +$6,845 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.4% | -29.5% | -29.1% | -23.6% | -19.9% | -17.1% | -15.9% | -7.8% | -5.1% | -3.4% | +0.3% | +5.0% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $87K | $88K | $81K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $127K | $139K | $141K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$87K to $127K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$81K to $141K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | +8.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | +20.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | +18.1% | |
| East Johnston | $106K | $119K | +12.0% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $205K | $228K | +11.3% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $124K | $128K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | +8.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 960002) | $346K | $453K | +30.9% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $340K | +28.9% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $291K | +28.0% | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | +20.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | $60K | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | $171K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $205K | $228K | $114K | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | $113K | |
| East Johnston | $106K | $119K | $60K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $124K | $128K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Johnston, OK · ZIP 74856 · Census Tract 40069660300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$100K
Downside (P10)
$81K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$106K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$141K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $65K | $70K | $71K | $76K | $80K | $83K | $84K | $92K | $95K | $96K | $100K | $100K | $105K | $106K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$34,288 | -$29,388 | -$28,988 | -$23,488 | -$19,788 | -$16,988 | -$15,788 | -$7,788 | -$5,088 | -$3,388 | +$312 | +$4,946 | +$6,845 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.4% | -29.5% | -29.1% | -23.6% | -19.9% | -17.1% | -15.9% | -7.8% | -5.1% | -3.4% | +0.3% | +5.0% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $87K | $88K | $81K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $127K | $139K | $141K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$87K to $127K
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$81K to $141K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | +8.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | +20.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | +18.1% | |
| East Johnston | $106K | $119K | +12.0% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $205K | $228K | +11.3% | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $124K | $128K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | +8.2% | |
| Johnston (Tract 960002) | $346K | $453K | +30.9% | |
| Johnston (Tract 440001) | $264K | $340K | +28.9% | |
| Johnston (Tract 280009) | $227K | $291K | +28.0% | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | +20.1% | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Johnston | $98K | $106K | $60K | |
| Johnston (Tract 080005) | $220K | $264K | $171K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660202) | $205K | $228K | $114K | |
| Johnston (Tract 880001) | $115K | $136K | $113K | |
| East Johnston | $106K | $119K | $60K | |
| Tishomingo (Tract 660201) | $124K | $128K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
