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Jefferson, OH · ZIP 43930 · Census Tract 39081011000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$214K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $72K | $72K | $77K | $94K | $113K | $110K | $103K | $132K | $146K | $149K | $155K | $157K | $160K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,717 | -$83,117 | -$78,717 | -$61,617 | -$42,217 | -$45,217 | -$52,317 | -$23,217 | -$9,417 | -$6,317 | +$1,310 | +$4,460 | +$12,917 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.9% | -53.5% | -50.7% | -39.7% | -27.2% | -29.1% | -33.7% | -15.0% | -6.1% | -4.1% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $133K | $130K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $196K | $214K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$133K to $188K
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $214K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | +12.2% | |
| Steubenville | $163K | $181K | +10.9% | |
| Cross Creek (Tract 011700) | $165K | $182K | +10.2% | |
| Knox | $153K | $166K | +8.4% | |
| Cross Creek (Tract 001200) | $143K | $155K | +8.3% | |
| Island Creek | $160K | $170K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | +12.2% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 480005) | $55K | $77K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $83K | +28.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $81K | +27.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 120006) | $125K | $158K | +26.4% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 360002) | $75K | $94K | +25.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | $84K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 011800) | $103K | $105K | $51K | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | $46K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | $42K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000400) | $59K | $64K | $40K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $65K | $70K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jefferson, OH · ZIP 43930 · Census Tract 39081011000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$130K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$214K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $72K | $72K | $77K | $94K | $113K | $110K | $103K | $132K | $146K | $149K | $155K | $157K | $160K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,717 | -$83,117 | -$78,717 | -$61,617 | -$42,217 | -$45,217 | -$52,317 | -$23,217 | -$9,417 | -$6,317 | +$1,310 | +$4,460 | +$12,917 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.9% | -53.5% | -50.7% | -39.7% | -27.2% | -29.1% | -33.7% | -15.0% | -6.1% | -4.1% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $133K | $130K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $196K | $214K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$133K to $188K
35.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $214K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | +12.2% | |
| Steubenville | $163K | $181K | +10.9% | |
| Cross Creek (Tract 011700) | $165K | $182K | +10.2% | |
| Knox | $153K | $166K | +8.4% | |
| Cross Creek (Tract 001200) | $143K | $155K | +8.3% | |
| Island Creek | $160K | $170K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | +12.2% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 480005) | $55K | $77K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $83K | +28.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $81K | +27.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 120006) | $125K | $158K | +26.4% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 360002) | $75K | $94K | +25.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brush Creek area | $150K | $168K | $84K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 011800) | $103K | $105K | $51K | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | $46K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | $42K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000400) | $59K | $64K | $40K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $65K | $70K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
