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Jefferson, OH · Census Tract 39081360002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$75K
Downside (P10)
$63K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$101K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$161K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $89K | $91K | $94K | $101K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$13,786 | +$15,258 | +$18,874 | +$25,760 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.3% | +20.2% | +25.0% | +34.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $72K | $61K | $60K | $63K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $132K | $146K | $161K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$72K to $122K
56.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$63K to $161K
96.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | +13.2% | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $66K | $67K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 480005) | $55K | $85K | +55.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 120006) | $125K | $167K | +33.8% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 880003) | $101K | $133K | +31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | $98K | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | $46K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | $42K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000400) | $60K | $64K | $40K | |
| Island Creek | $162K | $162K | $39K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $66K | $67K | $16K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jefferson, OH · Census Tract 39081360002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$75K
Downside (P10)
$63K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$101K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$161K
+113% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 47% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $89K | $91K | $94K | $101K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$13,786 | +$15,258 | +$18,874 | +$25,760 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.3% | +20.2% | +25.0% | +34.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $72K | $61K | $60K | $63K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $132K | $146K | $161K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$72K to $122K
56.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$63K to $161K
96.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | +13.2% | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | +10.8% | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $66K | $67K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 480005) | $55K | $85K | +55.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 600005) | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 120006) | $125K | $167K | +33.8% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 880003) | $101K | $133K | +31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360002 | $75K | $101K | $98K | |
| Wells | $89K | $99K | $46K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 012400) | $81K | $91K | $42K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000400) | $60K | $64K | $40K | |
| Island Creek | $162K | $162K | $39K | |
| Steubenville (Tract 000200) | $66K | $67K | $16K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
