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Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87122 · Census Tract 35001003731 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$825K
Downside (P10)
$676K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$897K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $577K | $567K | $602K | $592K | $639K | $653K | $660K | $744K | $763K | $798K | $825K | $844K | $883K | $897K | $834K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$248,547 | -$258,947 | -$223,547 | -$233,447 | -$186,447 | -$172,747 | -$165,547 | -$81,147 | -$62,147 | -$27,947 | +$18,114 | +$57,690 | +$71,060 | +$8,299 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.1% | -31.4% | -27.1% | -28.3% | -22.6% | -20.9% | -20.1% | -9.8% | -7.5% | -3.4% | +2.2% | +7.0% | +8.6% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $656K | $711K | $676K | $730K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $986K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $941K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$656K to $986K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$730K to $941K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | +9.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004716) | $641K | $742K | +15.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003744) | $877K | $953K | +8.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003741) | $661K | $712K | +7.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003726) | $699K | $748K | +7.0% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003742) | $585K | $599K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | +9.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000203) | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000503) | $312K | $366K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | $523K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004733) | $197K | $219K | $81K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87122 · Census Tract 35001003731 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$825K
Downside (P10)
$676K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$897K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $577K | $567K | $602K | $592K | $639K | $653K | $660K | $744K | $763K | $798K | $825K | $844K | $883K | $897K | $834K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$248,547 | -$258,947 | -$223,547 | -$233,447 | -$186,447 | -$172,747 | -$165,547 | -$81,147 | -$62,147 | -$27,947 | +$18,114 | +$57,690 | +$71,060 | +$8,299 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.1% | -31.4% | -27.1% | -28.3% | -22.6% | -20.9% | -20.1% | -9.8% | -7.5% | -3.4% | +2.2% | +7.0% | +8.6% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $656K | $711K | $676K | $730K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $986K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $941K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$656K to $986K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$730K to $941K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | +9.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004716) | $641K | $742K | +15.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003744) | $877K | $953K | +8.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003741) | $661K | $712K | +7.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003726) | $699K | $748K | +7.0% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003742) | $585K | $599K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | +9.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000203) | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000503) | $312K | $366K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $817K | $897K | $523K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004733) | $197K | $219K | $81K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
