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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87111 · Census Tract 35001003742 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$581K
Downside (P10)
$483K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$599K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$800K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $429K | $454K | $492K | $527K | $585K | $581K | $580K | $593K | $599K | $612K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | +8.2% | +7.2% | +11.0% | -0.7% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +0.9% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $525K | $497K | $483K | $543K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $696K | $723K | $800K | $687K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$525K to $696K
29.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$543K to $687K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $585K | $599K | +2.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004716) | $641K | $742K | +15.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003729) | $582K | $668K | +14.9% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003730) | $502K | $562K | +12.0% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003743) | $522K | $578K | +10.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003707) | $507K | $533K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $585K | $599K | +2.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004761) | $246K | $297K | +20.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000203) | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $585K | $599K | $317K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K | |
| West Bernalillo | $100K | $108K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.