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Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163780007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$541K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$615K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+91% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +91%. The model forecasts this with 35% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $541K | $575K | $565K | $580K | $615K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,842 | +$23,227 | +$38,770 | +$73,330 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.3% | +4.3% | +7.2% | +13.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $399K | $341K | $291K | $303K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $831K | $867K | $927K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$399K to $831K
75.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$303K to $1.0M
118.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | +13.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% | |
| Sampson (Tract 680000) | $789K | $1.03M | +30.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 880004) | $465K | $567K | +21.9% | |
| North Clinton | $239K | $248K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | +13.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 280002) | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 760001) | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | $729K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163780007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$541K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$615K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+91% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +91%. The model forecasts this with 35% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $541K | $575K | $565K | $580K | $615K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$33,842 | +$23,227 | +$38,770 | +$73,330 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.3% | +4.3% | +7.2% | +13.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $399K | $341K | $291K | $303K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $831K | $867K | $927K | $1.0M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$399K to $831K
75.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$303K to $1.0M
118.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | +13.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% | |
| Sampson (Tract 680000) | $789K | $1.03M | +30.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 880004) | $465K | $567K | +21.9% | |
| North Clinton | $239K | $248K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | +13.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 280002) | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 760001) | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 780007 | $541K | $615K | $729K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
