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Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163280002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$851K
Downside (P10)
$906K
+6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.29M
+51% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.81M
+113% by 2030
Base case: +51% by 2030, with a forecast range from +6% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $851K | $990K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$138,428 | +$201,407 | +$294,716 | +$438,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.3% | +23.7% | +34.6% | +51.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $832K | $808K | $856K | $906K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.8M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$832K to $1.2M
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$906K to $1.8M
70.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% | |
| Sampson (Tract 680000) | $789K | $1.03M | +30.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 880004) | $465K | $567K | +21.9% | |
| Sampson (Tract 780007) | $541K | $615K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 760001) | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | $905K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163280002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$851K
Downside (P10)
$906K
+6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.29M
+51% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.81M
+113% by 2030
Base case: +51% by 2030, with a forecast range from +6% to +113%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $851K | $990K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$138,428 | +$201,407 | +$294,716 | +$438,166 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.3% | +23.7% | +34.6% | +51.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $832K | $808K | $856K | $906K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.8M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$832K to $1.2M
39.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$906K to $1.8M
70.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% | |
| Sampson (Tract 680000) | $789K | $1.03M | +30.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 880004) | $465K | $567K | +21.9% | |
| Sampson (Tract 780007) | $541K | $615K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 760001) | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280002 | $851K | $1.29M | $905K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
