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Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163760001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$243K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$398K
+129% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +129%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $214K | $211K | $225K | $243K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$39,590 | +$36,916 | +$50,588 | +$69,297 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.7% | +21.2% | +29.1% | +39.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $162K | $163K | $169K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $295K | $303K | $331K | $398K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$178K to $295K
54.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$169K to $398K
94.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| North Clinton | $167K | $190K | +14.0% | |
| Westbrook area | $171K | $186K | +9.1% | |
| South Clinton (Tract 970802) | $200K | $208K | +4.4% | |
| South Clinton (Tract 970801) | $148K | $153K | +3.3% | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 280002) | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | $229K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sampson, NC · Census Tract 37163760001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$243K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$398K
+129% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +129%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $214K | $211K | $225K | $243K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$39,590 | +$36,916 | +$50,588 | +$69,297 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.7% | +21.2% | +29.1% | +39.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $162K | $163K | $169K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $295K | $303K | $331K | $398K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$178K to $295K
54.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$169K to $398K
94.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| North Clinton | $167K | $190K | +14.0% | |
| Westbrook area | $171K | $186K | +9.1% | |
| South Clinton (Tract 970802) | $200K | $208K | +4.4% | |
| South Clinton (Tract 970801) | $148K | $153K | +3.3% | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | +39.8% | |
| Sampson (Tract 280002) | $851K | $1.29M | +51.5% | |
| Sampson (Tract 520005) | $222K | $329K | +48.1% | |
| Sampson (Tract 480006) | $225K | $315K | +40.0% | |
| Sampson (Tract 440004) | $443K | $617K | +39.4% | |
| Sampson (Tract 160009) | $261K | $354K | +35.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $174K | $243K | $229K | |
| Little Coharie | $102K | $111K | $55K | |
| Clinton | $214K | $211K | $48K | |
| Turkey | $61K | $66K | $44K | |
| South Clinton | $148K | $153K | $38K | |
| Belvoir area | $162K | $165K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
