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Rutherford, NC · ZIP 28043 · Census Tract 37161960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$203K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$210K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$275K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $111K | $106K | $116K | $133K | $140K | $158K | $173K | $178K | $200K | $203K | $204K | $215K | $210K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$105,175 | -$92,275 | -$97,075 | -$86,775 | -$69,775 | -$63,375 | -$45,375 | -$30,375 | -$25,375 | -$3,575 | +$658 | +$11,488 | +$6,578 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.8% | -45.4% | -47.8% | -42.7% | -34.3% | -31.2% | -22.3% | -15.0% | -12.5% | -1.8% | +0.3% | +5.7% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $174K | $176K | $176K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $241K | $255K | $275K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$174K to $241K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$176K to $275K
47.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | +6.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Golden Valley area | $218K | $245K | +12.5% | |
| Green Hill | $188K | $200K | +6.4% | |
| Colfax | $207K | $220K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | +6.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $130K | +27.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $448K | +26.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 360005) | $888K | $1.08M | +21.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | $99K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960900) | $183K | $196K | $96K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960800) | $154K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton | $159K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $125K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $115K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rutherford, NC · ZIP 28043 · Census Tract 37161960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$203K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$210K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$275K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $111K | $106K | $116K | $133K | $140K | $158K | $173K | $178K | $200K | $203K | $204K | $215K | $210K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$105,175 | -$92,275 | -$97,075 | -$86,775 | -$69,775 | -$63,375 | -$45,375 | -$30,375 | -$25,375 | -$3,575 | +$658 | +$11,488 | +$6,578 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.8% | -45.4% | -47.8% | -42.7% | -34.3% | -31.2% | -22.3% | -15.0% | -12.5% | -1.8% | +0.3% | +5.7% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $174K | $176K | $176K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $241K | $255K | $275K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$174K to $241K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$176K to $275K
47.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | +6.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Golden Valley area | $218K | $245K | +12.5% | |
| Green Hill | $188K | $200K | +6.4% | |
| Colfax | $207K | $220K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | +6.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $130K | +27.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $448K | +26.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 360005) | $888K | $1.08M | +21.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $197K | $210K | $99K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960900) | $183K | $196K | $96K | |
| Cool Spring (Tract 960800) | $154K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton | $159K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $125K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $115K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
