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Rutherford, NC · ZIP 28043 · Census Tract 37161960900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$151K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $101K | $111K | $112K | $106K | $123K | $113K | $143K | $186K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $196K | $196K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,806 | -$84,306 | -$74,406 | -$73,506 | -$79,406 | -$62,106 | -$72,506 | -$42,706 | +$394 | -$4,506 | +$4,593 | +$10,845 | +$10,566 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.3% | -45.4% | -40.1% | -39.6% | -42.8% | -33.5% | -39.1% | -23.0% | +0.2% | -2.4% | +2.5% | +5.8% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $162K | $151K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $238K | $247K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$160K to $218K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$151K to $247K
49.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | +7.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 400004) | $187K | $224K | +19.7% | |
| Sulphur Springs | $188K | $214K | +13.8% | |
| Green Hill | $188K | $200K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | +7.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $130K | +27.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $448K | +26.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 360005) | $888K | $1.08M | +21.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | $96K | |
| Logan Store area | $132K | $141K | $97K | |
| Cool Spring | $154K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton | $159K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $125K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $115K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rutherford, NC · ZIP 28043 · Census Tract 37161960900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$151K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$247K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $101K | $111K | $112K | $106K | $123K | $113K | $143K | $186K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $196K | $196K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,806 | -$84,306 | -$74,406 | -$73,506 | -$79,406 | -$62,106 | -$72,506 | -$42,706 | +$394 | -$4,506 | +$4,593 | +$10,845 | +$10,566 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.3% | -45.4% | -40.1% | -39.6% | -42.8% | -33.5% | -39.1% | -23.0% | +0.2% | -2.4% | +2.5% | +5.8% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $160K | $162K | $151K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $238K | $247K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$160K to $218K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$151K to $247K
49.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | +7.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 400004) | $187K | $224K | +19.7% | |
| Sulphur Springs | $188K | $214K | +13.8% | |
| Green Hill | $188K | $200K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | +7.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $243K | +27.1% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $130K | +27.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $448K | +26.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $233K | +23.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 360005) | $888K | $1.08M | +21.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Spring | $183K | $196K | $96K | |
| Logan Store area | $132K | $141K | $97K | |
| Cool Spring | $154K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton | $159K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $125K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $115K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
