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Rutherford, NC · Census Tract 37161360005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$888K
Downside (P10)
$866K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.15M
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+72% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $888K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$136,328 | +$135,370 | +$194,087 | +$262,411 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +15.4% | +15.2% | +21.9% | +29.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $897K | $834K | $849K | $866K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$897K to $1.2M
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$866K to $1.5M
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | +29.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 840004) | $560K | $683K | +22.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 120009) | $541K | $636K | +17.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 240002) | $497K | $560K | +12.7% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 680002) | $651K | $727K | +11.8% | |
| Chimney Rock | $545K | $571K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | +29.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $261K | +38.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $141K | +38.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $263K | +37.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $487K | +37.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 400004) | $187K | $246K | +31.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | $660K | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960501) | $353K | $355K | $88K | |
| Cool Spring | $155K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960600) | $158K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $127K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $118K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rutherford, NC · Census Tract 37161360005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$888K
Downside (P10)
$866K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.15M
+30% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+72% by 2030
Base case: +30% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $888K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$136,328 | +$135,370 | +$194,087 | +$262,411 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +15.4% | +15.2% | +21.9% | +29.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $897K | $834K | $849K | $866K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$897K to $1.2M
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$866K to $1.5M
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | +29.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 840004) | $560K | $683K | +22.0% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 120009) | $541K | $636K | +17.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 240002) | $497K | $560K | +12.7% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 680002) | $651K | $727K | +11.8% | |
| Chimney Rock | $545K | $571K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | +29.6% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 280004) | $188K | $261K | +38.4% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 160001) | $102K | $141K | +38.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 560009) | $191K | $263K | +37.5% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 480008) | $355K | $487K | +37.2% | |
| Rutherford (Tract 400004) | $187K | $246K | +31.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360005 | $888K | $1.15M | $660K | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960501) | $353K | $355K | $88K | |
| Cool Spring | $155K | $167K | $72K | |
| Rutherfordton (Tract 960600) | $158K | $170K | $72K | |
| Logan Store | $127K | $132K | $59K | |
| High Shoals | $118K | $124K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
