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Henderson, NC · ZIP 28790 · Census Tract 37089932000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$459K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$518K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $165K | $189K | $216K | $238K | $290K | $350K | $368K | $420K | $451K | $459K | $480K | $502K | $518K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$286,233 | -$294,233 | -$269,933 | -$242,833 | -$221,633 | -$169,233 | -$109,133 | -$91,433 | -$38,933 | -$8,233 | +$21,295 | +$43,257 | +$59,291 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.3% | -64.1% | -58.8% | -52.9% | -48.3% | -36.9% | -23.8% | -19.9% | -8.5% | -1.8% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +12.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $408K | $425K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $545K | $577K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$416K to $545K
26.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$425K to $621K
37.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931902) | $429K | $475K | +10.9% | |
| Mills River (Tract 930702) | $412K | $452K | +9.9% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931901) | $477K | $508K | +6.5% | |
| Mills River (Tract 930701) | $455K | $477K | +4.7% | |
| Hendersonville | $444K | $460K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931402) | $290K | $333K | +14.9% | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | +14.5% | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | +12.7% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931500) | $571K | $635K | +11.1% | |
| Crab Creek | $429K | $475K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | $196K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930402) | $247K | $260K | $151K | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | $144K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930401) | $252K | $259K | $140K | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | $132K | |
| Edneyville | $255K | $268K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Henderson, NC · ZIP 28790 · Census Tract 37089932000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$459K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$518K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $165K | $189K | $216K | $238K | $290K | $350K | $368K | $420K | $451K | $459K | $480K | $502K | $518K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$286,233 | -$294,233 | -$269,933 | -$242,833 | -$221,633 | -$169,233 | -$109,133 | -$91,433 | -$38,933 | -$8,233 | +$21,295 | +$43,257 | +$59,291 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.3% | -64.1% | -58.8% | -52.9% | -48.3% | -36.9% | -23.8% | -19.9% | -8.5% | -1.8% | +4.6% | +9.4% | +12.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $408K | $425K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $545K | $577K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$416K to $545K
26.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$425K to $621K
37.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931902) | $429K | $475K | +10.9% | |
| Mills River (Tract 930702) | $412K | $452K | +9.9% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931901) | $477K | $508K | +6.5% | |
| Mills River (Tract 930701) | $455K | $477K | +4.7% | |
| Hendersonville | $444K | $460K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931402) | $290K | $333K | +14.9% | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | +14.5% | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | +12.7% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931500) | $571K | $635K | +11.1% | |
| Crab Creek | $429K | $475K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green River | $454K | $518K | $196K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930402) | $247K | $260K | $151K | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | $144K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930401) | $252K | $259K | $140K | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | $132K | |
| Edneyville | $255K | $268K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
