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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Henderson, NC · ZIP 28731 · Census Tract 37089931500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$585K
Downside (P10)
$484K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$635K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$818K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $346K | $352K | $369K | $384K | $387K | $421K | $420K | $484K | $526K | $569K | $585K | $606K | $624K | $635K | $588K |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +4.6% | +4.3% | +0.7% | +8.8% | -0.2% | +15.1% | +8.7% | +8.2% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +3.1% | +1.7% | -7.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $517K | $500K | $484K | $516K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $759K | $806K | $818K | $667K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$517K to $759K
39.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$516K to $667K
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendersonville | $571K | $635K | +11.1% | |
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931902) | $429K | $475K | +10.9% | |
| Crab Creek (Tract 931901) | $477K | $508K | +6.5% | |
| Mills River | $455K | $477K | +4.7% | |
| Hendersonville | $444K | $460K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendersonville | $571K | $635K | +11.1% | |
| Hendersonville | $290K | $333K | +14.9% | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | +14.5% | |
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | +12.7% | |
| Crab Creek | $429K | $475K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendersonville | $571K | $635K | $334K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930402) | $247K | $260K | $151K | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | $144K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930401) | $252K | $259K | $140K | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | $132K | |
| Edneyville | $255K | $268K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.