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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Henderson, NC · ZIP 28792 · Census Tract 37089930100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$337K
Downside (P10)
$279K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$372K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$461K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $156K | $175K | $191K | $218K | $244K | $257K | $254K | $274K | $291K | $332K | $337K | $341K | $353K | $372K |
| YoY Change | +11.8% | +9.0% | +14.4% | +11.8% | +5.6% | -1.4% | +8.0% | +6.1% | +14.3% | +1.5% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $282K | $292K | $279K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $422K | $461K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$282K to $402K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$279K to $461K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edneyville · Hendersonville · (Tract 9301) | $341K | $372K | +9.2% | |
| Blue Ridge | $332K | $359K | +8.1% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931200) | $343K | $368K | +7.4% | |
| Mills River | $326K | $349K | +7.0% | |
| Fletcher | $317K | $335K | +5.6% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931100) | $331K | $349K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edneyville · Hendersonville · (Tract 9301) | $341K | $372K | +9.2% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931402) | $290K | $333K | +14.9% | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | +14.5% | |
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | +12.7% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931500) | $571K | $635K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edneyville · Hendersonville · (Tract 9301) | $341K | $372K | $182K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930402) | $247K | $260K | $151K | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | $144K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930401) | $252K | $259K | $140K | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | $132K | |
| Edneyville | $255K | $268K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.