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Cumberland, NC · ZIP 28314 · Census Tract 37051003307 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$199K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$214K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$272K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $159K | $154K | $152K | $160K | $165K | $169K | $192K | $197K | $192K | $199K | $206K | $215K | $214K |
| YoY Change | -4.0% | -3.3% | -1.4% | +5.3% | +3.1% | +2.1% | +13.8% | +2.7% | -2.6% | +3.5% | +3.6% | +4.5% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $173K | $167K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $247K | $268K | $272K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$171K to $247K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$167K to $272K
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 28314 · (Tract 33.7) | $196K | $214K | +8.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville area | $199K | $227K | +13.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 002501) | $194K | $219K | +12.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003209) | $199K | $209K | +5.0% | |
| Rockfish | $199K | $206K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 28314 · (Tract 33.7) | $196K | $214K | +8.9% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003314) | $198K | $231K | +16.8% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000500) | $127K | $147K | +15.8% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003106) | $123K | $141K | +14.3% | |
| Rockfish (Tract 003102) | $345K | $394K | +14.2% | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 003312) | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fayetteville · 28314 · (Tract 33.7) | $196K | $214K | $105K | |
| Cedar Creek | $125K | $131K | $66K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001903) | $105K | $116K | $62K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 000200) | $102K | $105K | $61K | |
| Carvers Creek area | $102K | $105K | $60K | |
| Fayetteville (Tract 001701) | $134K | $143K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.